Dimitri Speck - Trading Seasonal and Cyclical Patterns (Total size: 116.5 MB Contains: 6 files)

Dimitri Speck's expertise as a fund manager and trading system developer adds credibility to his insights on seasonal and cyclical patterns in the stock market.

Seasonality and cycles are not limited to annual patterns, but also occur within months, weeks, and even within a single day, presenting various recurring events and regular patterns to be explored.

The "Halloween effect" suggests that the stock market tends to have lower performance during the summer months compared to the winter months.

Seasonality was found to be the best trading strategy in a scientific study that analyzed six different strategies over a 217-year period in multiple markets, suggesting that considering seasonal patterns in trading approaches can be worthwhile.

Seasonal charts can provide valuable insights into the performance patterns of financial instruments over the years, helping investors make informed decisions.

Analyzing statistics like standard deviation and winning trades can help investors make more informed decisions based on historical market trends.

Investing in Microsoft during this seasonal period has historically resulted in an average return of 8.45% in just 20 trading days, with a high chance of outperformance.

The "turn of the month effect" shows that the stock market tends to rise around the time when payment flows like salaries enter the market, resulting in a 7.6% return during that period since 1928.

Tuesday has consistently outperformed the overall market in the S&P, with an annualized performance that beats even the total market.

Private traders can benefit from understanding and considering seasonal and cyclical patterns in the market.

The German trading system, which incorporates interest rates, inflation, dollar, and seasonality, has shown a significant track record of success, indicating that seasonality does work in reality.

Real Estate and Other Markets

Seasonality also affects the US home prices, which can be important to consider when planning to buy or sell a property.

Understanding annual seasonality can provide valuable insights for making informed decisions in the real estate market.

Market Manipulation and Controversies

The drop in gold prices during the am and pm fixings in London suggests market manipulation, which was later proven to be true.

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Dimitri Speck - Trading Seasonal and Cyclical Patterns (Total size: 116.5 MB Contains: 6 files)

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